Tilbage til fremtiden

Tue Damsø

Student thesis: Master thesis


As a measure to mitigate global warming through the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions, there is broad agreement that the Danish energy system must undergo a process of transition towards a renewable energy supply. To support this transition, a proposal for a strategic energy planning has been presented by the Danish Energy Authority (DEA) and Local Government Denmark (LGDK). It is a planning tool facilitating local planning towards a more flexible and efficient energy system. The concept is in the process of being developed and this thesis aims at contributing to this development. The thesis strives to provide this through a comprehensive case study using the Region of Zealand as it’s base. By asking: Which possibilities and challenges exist for a strategically long-term transition of the energy system in the Region of Zealand to a renewable energy supply, and what elements are thereby derived for the development of strategic energy planning? Two separate but interacting objectives are proposed for the study: 1) The development of a strategic and long-term transition plan for the Region of Zealand and 2)consequently deriving the challenges and possibilities for a strategic energy planning in order to contribute towards further development and refinement of the concept. The study starts by a theoretical discussion and methodological operationalization of the concept, followed by four separate analyses. First a discussion of the transitional goal, secondly by a mapping of the initial energy system, production, consumption and greenhouse gas emissions. Thirdly a review of the main transition conditions: the potential for energy savings and renewable energy production is being performed, and finally the energy transition analysis outlines the way for the regional energy system, towards a renewable energy supply in 2050. The thesis results in a proposed energy balance for the Region of Zealand in 2050 as well as an associated system transition plan. Through the elaboration of this transitional plan, a methodology for strategic and systemic energy planning has been developed, which facilitates robust, long-term action plans. This approach is further condensed, alongside the other experiences derived from the case study, in order to summarize the recommendations, which this study can pass on to the planning process towards the future sustainable energy systems.

EducationsTekSam - Technological and Socio-Economic Planning, (Bachelor/Graduate Programme) Graduate
Publication date28 Feb 2012
SupervisorsTyge Kjær & Rikke Lybæk


  • ressourcer
  • robusthed
  • teknologiudvikling
  • fremtidsstudier
  • kapacitetsomstilling
  • planlægning
  • potentialekortlægning
  • Region Sjælland
  • 2050
  • strategisk
  • energi
  • biomasse
  • GIS
  • usikkerhed
  • backcasting
  • vedvarende
  • energisystem
  • drivhusgasregnskab
  • systemkortlægning
  • omstilling
  • energiforsyning
  • systemisk