Predictors of Severity of Influenza-Related Hospitalizations: Results From the Global Influenza Hospital Surveillance Network (GIHSN)

Lily E. Cohen*, Chelsea L. Hansen, Melissa K. Andrew, Shelly A. McNeil, Philippe Vanhems, Jan Kyncl, Javier Díez Domingo, Tao Zhang, Ghassan Dbaibo, Victor Alberto Laguna-Torres, Anca Draganescu, Elsa Baumeister, Doris Gomez, Sonia M. Raboni, Heloisa I.G. Giamberardino, Marta C. Nunes, Elena Burtseva, Anna Sominina, Snežana Medić, Daouda CoulibalyAfif Ben Salah, Nancy A. Otieno, Parvaiz A. Koul, Serhat Unal, Mine Durusu Tanriover, Marie Mazur, Joseph Bresee, Cecile Viboud, Sandra S. Chaves*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articleResearchpeer-review

Abstract

Background. 

The Global Influenza Hospital Surveillance Network (GIHSN) has since 2012 provided patient-level data on severe influenza-like-illnesses from >100 participating clinical sites worldwide based on a core protocol and consistent case definitions. 

Methods. 

We used multivariable logistic regression to assess the risk of intensive care unit admission, mechanical ventilation, and in-hospital death among hospitalized patients with influenza and explored the role of patient-level covariates and country income level. 

Results. 

The data set included 73 121 patients hospitalized with respiratory illness in 22 countries, including 15 660 with laboratory-confirmed influenza. After adjusting for patient-level covariates we found a 7-fold increase in the risk of influenza-related intensive care unit admission in lower middle-income countries (LMICs), compared with high-income countries (P = .01). The risk of mechanical ventilation and in-hospital death also increased by 4-fold in LMICs, though these differences were not statistically significant. We also find that influenza mortality increased significantly with older age and number of comorbid conditions. Across all severity outcomes studied and after controlling for patient characteristics, infection with influenza A/H1N1pdm09 was more severe than with A/H3N2. 

Conclusions. 

Our study provides new information on influenza severity in underresourced populations, particularly those in LMICs.

Original languageEnglish
JournalJournal of Infectious Diseases
Volume229
Issue number4
Pages (from-to)999-1009
Number of pages11
ISSN0022-1899
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 15 Apr 2024

Bibliographical note

Funding Information:
Financial support. This work was supported by the Foundation for Influenza Epidemiology (France; support to the Global Influenza Hospital Surveillance Network [GIHSN]) and by Ready2Respond (funding for data analysis under Wellcome Trust grant 224690/Z/21/Z).

Keywords

  • disease severity
  • global health
  • influenza epidemiology
  • lower middle-income countries
  • surveillance

Cite this