La probabilidad condicional como herramienta para la toma de decisiones

Translated title of the contribution: Conditional probability as a decision making tool

Raimundo José Elicer Coopman, Eduardo Andrés Carrasco Henríquez

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingArticle in proceedingsResearchpeer-review


This report is frammed with the process of design, implementation and validation of a teaching situation of conditional probability. It draws upon the game Monty Hall as scenary for decision-making in face of situations of uncertainty. In particular, under the didactic engineering framework, preliminary analysis elements are given. Cognitively, students use non mathematic elements to decide. Epistemologic analysis focuses on the exchange of correspondence about gamblings between Pascal and Fermat. The didactic elements show a prevalence of probabilistic calculations over decision making in textbooks.
Translated title of the contributionConditional probability as a decision making tool
Original languageSpanish
Title of host publicationActa Latinoamericana de Matemática Educativa
Number of pages9
Place of PublicationMéxico
PublisherComité Latinoamericano de Matemática Educativa A.C.
Publication date2016
ISBN (Print)2448-6469
Publication statusPublished - 2016
Externally publishedYes

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