The One Religious Group To Rule Them All? A study of internal conflict in Israel and the demographics of ultra-Orthodox Jews

Klaus Asbjørn Madsen

Studenteropgave: Bachelorprojekt


This thesis analyzes intra-state conflict in Israel through a theoretical framework from the
field of political demography. The main focus is the ultra-Orthodox (Haredi) population group,
and particularly what factors contribute to conflict between them and other groups in Israeli
society. For this purpose, a hypotheses framework is applied partly building on previous
work done by Monica Toft and Jack Goldstone. The thesis proposes two additional factors to
build on existing theories on demographic conflict, investigating “values” and “cohesion”.
This is partly done using the 2016 Pew rapport on the religious divides in Israel. Lastly, a
population projection from the Israeli Central Bureau of Statistics is used to gauge what
course the conflict might take in the future.

Although the conclusions to a few of the hypotheses are unclear, the main conclusion
through looking at this theoretical framework projects the conflict intensifying in the future.
Key to this is the extremely high fertility rate of the Ultra-Orthodox, and the resulting
population growth, projecting that the ultra-Orthodox make up at 34.5 % of the Jewish
population in Israel in 2059, up from 11 % today.

UddannelserBasis - International Samfundsvidenskabelig Bacheloruddannelse, (Bachelor uddannelse) Bachelor
Udgivelsesdato29 maj 2017
Antal sider66
VejledereBjørn Thomassen