The future importers of Gulf oil could play a pivotal role in shaping the future Middle East and the Saudi-Iranian relationship. Both Saudi-Arabia’s and Iran’s economies are heavily dependant on oil, meaning the shift in importers could drastically change their foreign policy, but also the players involved in the region, as some countries are increasingly becoming dependent on Gulf oil. The US achieving energy autarky, could be a massive blow to Saudi-Arabia and the stability of the region, as the US has largely provided a security umbrella, which we may now soon see disappear, as the US isn’t as reliant on the region. Furthermore, China gets 45% of their oil from the region, making it very important to China’s security, meaning the future will almost certainly see a larger Chinese presence, which with or without an American withdrawal will alter the Saudi-Iranian relationship both directly and indirectly. The project seeks to answer how the shift in importers from the Gulf may affect the Saudi-Iranian relationship through the construction of scenarios, which will analyze the consequence of the US staying or withdrawing from the region.
|Uddannelser||Basis - International Samfundsvidenskabelig Bacheloruddannelse, (Bachelor uddannelse) Basis|
|Udgivelsesdato||17 dec. 2019|
- International Politics