Spatial model of Ebola outbreaks contained by behavior change

Gustav S. Halvorsen; Lone Simonsen; Kim Sneppen

doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0264425

Spatial model of Ebola outbreaks contained by behavior change

Gustav S. Halvorsen
, Lone Simonsen
, Kim Sneppen^*

^*Corresponding author

Institut for Naturvidenskab og Miljø

Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskrift › Tidsskriftartikel › Forskning › peer review

3 Citationer (Scopus)

131 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

The West African Ebola (2014-2016) epidemic caused an estimated 11.310 deaths and massive social and economic disruption. The epidemic was comprised of many local outbreaks of varying sizes. However, often local outbreaks recede before the arrival of international aid or susceptible depletion. We modeled Ebola virus transmission under the effect of behavior changes acting as a local inhibitor. A spatial model is used to simulate Ebola epidemics. Our findings suggest that behavior changes can explain why local Ebola outbreaks recede before substantial international aid was mobilized during the 2014-2016 epidemic.

Originalsprog	Engelsk
Artikelnummer	e0264425
Tidsskrift	PLOS ONE
Vol/bind	17
Udgave nummer	3 March
ISSN	1932-6203
DOI	https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0264425
Status	Udgivet - mar. 2022

Finansiering

Funding Information: European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union's Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Program, Grant Agreement No. 740704.

Adgang til dokumentet

10.1371/journal.pone.0264425Licens: CC BY

Spatial model of Ebola outbreaks contained by behavior changeForlagets udgivne version, 1,91 MBLicens: CC BY

Citationsformater

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