La probabilidad condicional como herramienta para la toma de decisiones

Raimundo José Elicer Coopman, Eduardo Andrés Carrasco Henríquez

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This report is frammed with the process of design, implementation and validation of a teaching situation of conditional probability. It draws upon the game Monty Hall as scenary for decision-making in face of situations of uncertainty. In particular, under the didactic engineering framework, preliminary analysis elements are given. Cognitively, students use non mathematic elements to decide. Epistemologic analysis focuses on the exchange of correspondence about gamblings between Pascal and Fermat. The didactic elements show a prevalence of probabilistic calculations over decision making in textbooks.
Bidragets oversatte titelConditional probability as a decision making tool
TitelActa Latinoamericana de Matemática Educativa
Antal sider9
ForlagComité Latinoamericano de Matemática Educativa A.C.
ISBN (Trykt)2448-6469
StatusUdgivet - 2016
Udgivet eksterntJa


  • conditional probability,decisions,didactic engineering,monty hall,preliminary analysis

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