COVID-19 Superspreading Suggests Mitigation by Social Network Modulation

Bjarke Frost Nielsen; Lone Simonsen; Kim Sneppen

doi:10.1103/PhysRevLett.126.118301

COVID-19 Superspreading Suggests Mitigation by Social Network Modulation

Bjarke Frost Nielsen, Lone Simonsen, Kim Sneppen

Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskrift › Tidsskriftartikel › Forskning › peer review

Abstract

Although COVID-19 has caused severe suffering globally, the efficacy of nonpharmaceutical interventions has been greater than typical models have predicted. Meanwhile, evidence is mounting that the pandemic is characterized by superspreading. Capturing this phenomenon theoretically requires modeling at the scale of individuals. Using a mathematical model, we show that superspreading drastically enhances mitigations which reduce the overall personal contact number and that social clustering increases this effect.

Originalsprog	Engelsk
Artikelnummer	118301
Tidsskrift	Physical Review Letters
Vol/bind	126
Udgave nummer	11
ISSN	0031-9007
DOI	https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.126.118301
Status	Udgivet - 15 mar. 2021

Bibliografisk note

Funding Information:
Our research has received funding from the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program, Grant Agreement No. 740704, as well as from The Carlsberg Foundation, Grant No. 61114.

Link til dokument

10.1103/PhysRevLett.126.118301Licens: CC BY

COVID-19 Superspreading Suggests Mitigation by Social Network ModulationForlagets udgivne version, 1,3 MBLicens: CC BY

Carlsberg PandemiX: A Quantitative study of historical and contemporary pandemics
Simonsen, L., Andreasen, V., Berrig, C., Wijhe, M. V., Qvesel, A. G., Thorn, A. V., Ørskov, S., Ingholt, M. M., Krogfelt, K. A., Nielsen, B. F., Poder, S. K., Mannov Christiansen, C., Pedersen, A. G., Sneppen, K., Fischer, T. K., Pedersen, R. K. & Eilersen, A. T.
Carlsbergfondet
01/04/2020 → 30/09/2024
Projekter: Projekt › Forskning

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COVID-19 Superspreading Suggests Mitigation by Social Network Modulation

Abstract

Bibliografisk note

Link til dokument

Projekter

Carlsberg PandemiX: A Quantitative study of historical and contemporary pandemics

Citer dette