Conditional probability as a decision-making tool: A didactic sequence

Raimundo Elicer, Eduardo Carrasco

Publikation: Bidrag til bog/antologi/rapportKonferencebidrag i proceedingsForskningpeer review

Abstrakt

Conditional probability arises as a tool for analyzing a strategy for decision-making that molds to new conditions. From that point of view, an introductory sequence which utilizes diachronic games is designed and analyzed under the framework of didactical engineering, bringing conditional probability into play as a decision-making tool. It can be observed that students tend to base their decisions on heuristics and experiential considerations, and do not see the need for a proper calculation of theoretical probabilities. At most, they use experimentation as a tool, not computing probabilities based on relative frequencies, but comparing absolute frequencies.
OriginalsprogEngelsk
TitelProceedings of the Tenth Congress of the European Society for Research in Mathematics Education (CERME10, February 1 – 5, 2017)
RedaktørerThérèse Dooley, Ghislaine Gueudet
Antal sider8
ForlagEuropean Society for Research in Mathematics Education / ERME
Publikationsdato2017
Sider748-755
StatusUdgivet - 2017
Begivenhed10th Congress of the European Society for Research in Mathematics Education - Institute of Education, Dublin City University, Dublin, Irland
Varighed: 1 feb. 20175 feb. 2017
Konferencens nummer: 10
http://cerme10.org/

Konference

Konference10th Congress of the European Society for Research in Mathematics Education
Nummer10
LokationInstitute of Education, Dublin City University
LandIrland
ByDublin
Periode01/02/201705/02/2017
Internetadresse

Citer dette

Elicer, R., & Carrasco, E. (2017). Conditional probability as a decision-making tool: A didactic sequence. I T. Dooley, & G. Gueudet (red.), Proceedings of the Tenth Congress of the European Society for Research in Mathematics Education (CERME10, February 1 – 5, 2017) (s. 748-755). European Society for Research in Mathematics Education / ERME.